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Vote share of National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is likely to increase by 1.9 per cent in the upcoming Assam elections, while it may bag 72 seats out of the overall 126, a survey said on February 27.

The IANS-CVoter survey said that the vote share of the United Progressive Alliance’s (UPA) is also likely to increase dramatically with survey projections showing it at 43.8 per cent in comparison to 2016, when it logged merely 31 per cent. The seats will increase from 26 to 47.

On February 26, the Election Commission of India announced the dates for elections to the 126-member Assam assembly, set to be held over three phases on March 27, April 1 and April 6 with the results to be declared on May 2.

According to the survey of more than 4,700 participants done in six weeks, the National Democratic Alliance led by the BJP may get 43.8 per cent vote share as against 41.9 per cent in the last election held in 2016. It may score 72 seats, down by two.

The vote share of the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) is most likely to come down to 1.1 per cent as against 3.9 per cent in the 2016 state elections. The vote shares of other parties may stand at 13.7 per cent, down from 23.2 per cent in the last elections. The BPF on February 27 announced that it will contest the state elections as part of the Congress-led Mahagathbandhan.

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Region-wise, the majority of votes from Central Assam, Hills and Barak Valley and Upper Assam will go to the BJP, while votes from Lower Assam are likely to sway towards the Congress. In 2016, the majority of votes from all the regions went to the BJP.

The surveyor asked the participants who they will vote for if the assembly elections are held today? To this, 43.8 per cent said that they will vote for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance, 41.4 per cent said that they will vote for the United Progressive Alliance.

The last assembly polls in 2016 in Assam were held in two phases wherein the Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies had won 86 of the state’s 126 assembly constituencies.

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